Spiffy-Dreamer
0xd561193259723f3b429e0a029aec2f378d2b9423
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
95
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-15.3K
Realised
$423.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
912 shares @ 56.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$606.70
$93.68
- WALCZAKI
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
500 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$252.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
878 shares @ 16.3¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$211.66
$68.68
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
316 shares @ 39.3¢·now 39.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.06
$1.73
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
210 shares @ 63.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.80
$-11.60
- OVER
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
100 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$72.50
$-0.50
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$71.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
70 shares @ 42.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$54.25
$24.25
- YES
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?
520 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$11.70
$-9.30
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs$258.75May 18, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$20.41May 18, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$499.99May 18, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$183.00May 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5$73.59May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers$273.72May 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.87May 17, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$67.88May 17, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$600.00May 17, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)$100.00May 17, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$500.00May 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?$87.07May 17, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$116.31May 17, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$461.10May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)$8.50May 17, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$65.68May 17, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$3.10May 17, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$129.50May 17, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$222.48May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$0.06May 17, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $70.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 03:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".