0xd580a2eb94d9b8d86fc13f2ce3f7804a49c4ed94
0xd580a2eb94d9b8d86fc13f2ce3f7804a49c4ed94
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$29.23
Total PnL
$-20.91
Realised
$-5.69
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$6.36
$5.34
- NO
Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.00
$3.55
- NO
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$4.99
$2.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.47
$3.17
- NO
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
3 shares @ 37.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.22
$2.00
- YES
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 59.6¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.98
$1.93
- YES
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
10 shares @ 23.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$1.75
$-0.62
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 28.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-1.16
- YES
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.12
$-0.93
- YES
Will George Conway be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.04
$-1.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$2.40Apr 1, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$0.04Mar 27, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$0.22Mar 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?$0.12Mar 26, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.50Mar 26, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.35Mar 25, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$2.21Mar 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$1.40Mar 24, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.60Mar 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?$0.50Mar 24, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.22Mar 24, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?$1.35Mar 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.15Mar 24, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?$1.28Mar 24, 03:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$0.65Mar 24, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?$1.10Mar 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$0.85Mar 24, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?$1.55Mar 23, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$1.15Mar 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?$0.23Mar 23, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.