Absolute-Knee
0xd5e2004f433afc994d49cd423f8041928ea95048
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$253.95
Total PnL
$-279.07
Realised
$4.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.36
$5.36
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
30 shares @ 76.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$25.20
$2.40
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.85
$3.85
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.52
$0.52
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.17
$0.17
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
24 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.82
$-3.18
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$14.55
$4.55
- OVER
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$13.85
$3.85
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
23 shares @ 86.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.86
$-8.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.01May 14, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00May 14, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.01May 14, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.00May 14, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$8.93May 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.15May 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGirona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$10.14May 14, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.15May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.01May 14, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGirona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score$10.12May 14, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.05May 14, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.14May 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.01May 14, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET$11.79May 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET$5.08May 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6AM ET$5.01May 14, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$4.21May 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.01May 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.01May 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$12.50May 14, 01:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".