0xd6a718a4184a1f211aa0d3a1788116d4ceb3c3d0
0xd6a718a4184a1f211aa0d3a1788116d4ceb3c3d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$57.19
Total PnL
$-8.43
Realised
$1.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.67
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
7 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.64
$0.77
- YES
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?
6 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.08
$0.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
6 shares @ 96.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.98
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
11 shares @ 72.1¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$-2.58
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
8 shares @ 69.7¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.71
$-2.16
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 38.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.65
$-3.84
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$0.27
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$3.15
$1.81
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$-1.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$0.27Jun 12, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.05Jun 12, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$0.00Jun 12, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 12, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.54Jun 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.04Jun 9, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$2.11Jun 9, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 8?$3.33Jun 9, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$1.69Jun 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$2.01Jun 8, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$2.01Jun 8, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?$2.10Jun 8, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 8?$2.04Jun 8, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of June?$2.01Jun 8, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.29Jun 7, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.06Jun 7, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.04Jun 7, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$0.07Jun 7, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$3.01Jun 5, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 03:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.