0xd89bdb5b35912328f55b49774fbdb528f1fc9bc2
0xd89bdb5b35912328f55b49774fbdb528f1fc9bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.54
Total PnL
$-23.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.96
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of April 20 2026?
30 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will Tesla dip to $248 in April?
30 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?
18 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of April?
8 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of April?
7 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- MAGIC
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.73Jun 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.48Jun 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$7.66Jun 21, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$1.70Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.57Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$20.67Jun 21, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.18Jun 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$6.89Jun 21, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.61Jun 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.44Jun 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.50Jun 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3.26Jun 19, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$1.50Jun 10, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.78Jun 10, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.50Jun 1, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 01:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.