Variable-Cotton
0xd9a424d3c526611999a07db6b5eaa9e503394f8c
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$117.56
Total PnL
$-41.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
28 shares @ 46.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.55
$1.55
- YES
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
168 shares @ 7.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
57 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.03
$1.03
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
16 shares @ 31.5¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.52
$-0.48
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$0.58
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
16 shares @ 24.7¢·now 25.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.05
$0.05
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.78
$-0.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.60
$0.60
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
19 shares @ 21.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.05
$-0.95
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs$3.2819h ago
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill BC.Game make a roster move before May? $0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill FalleN retire by June 1? $0.0023h ago
- REDEEMPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill BC.Game make a roster move before May? $0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill FalleN retire by June 1? $0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEM2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.0023h ago
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by June 30? $1.0223h ago
- TRADEBUYWill FURIA make a roster change before July?$4.0723h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the winning team not lose a single map throughout BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?$2.0623h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$2.0523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?$2.0523h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$12.3323h ago
- REDEEMPenn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips$0.0023h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 19h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".