Thin-Characterization
0xd9b2f19dff977451dc696424739a7659fa3d9ae2
Quality score
73/100
Open positions
60
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-839.57
Realised
$-3.36
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
1763 shares @ 82.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-26.44
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
775 shares @ 70.2¢·now 65.3¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$506.46
$-37.59
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
309 shares @ 60.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$200.85
$15.45
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
118 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.06
$-1.18
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
4 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.83
$0.15
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.39
$0.07
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.16
$0.10
- NO
Cobie mindshare all time high by March 31?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.00
$0.79
- YES
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$1.4K1d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$544.052d ago
- REDEEMWill Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.0012d ago
- REDEEMStefon Diggs arrested by March 31?$37.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$734.0012d ago
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.2K12d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$79.3925d ago
- TRADESELLWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$31.0825d ago
- TRADESELLWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$47.7625d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$668.8026d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?$551.7326d ago
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$309.0029d ago
- REDEEMSan Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves$417.0029d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$494.5531d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$494.5531d ago
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$46.8032d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$198.1032d ago
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?$234.9032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$45.9032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$185.1332d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $210.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 57d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.