Virtuous-Recess
0xda3d86bf7ffeadb1417a00a3a03df07e53eefa66
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$66.40
Total PnL
$-9.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
8 shares @ 12.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$8.06
$7.06
- YES
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.78
$1.78
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 83.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.34
$0.34
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- NO
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
2 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.13
$0.13
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 50.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.99
$0.99
- YES
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.92
$0.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?$0.01May 16, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.01May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.00May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.04May 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$1.02May 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?$1.04May 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 75 and 99 points?$1.00May 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points?$1.03May 16, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$2.01May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 16, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 16, 21:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.