Complex-Formation
0xda9126becc96be3598ddd05c4fc06f4093759ffd
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$-813.43
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
68%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3966 shares @ 70.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.2K
$411.71
- YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
3967 shares @ 24.9¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$753.72
$-232.90
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
818 shares @ 65.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$580.83
$45.51
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
473 shares @ 76.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$366.37
$3.82
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
388 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$350.03
$39.63
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
491 shares @ 64.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$316.56
$2.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
931 shares @ 34.8¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$316.43
$-7.82
- YES
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
240 shares @ 72.2¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$172.59
$-0.39
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
241 shares @ 55.6¢·now 69.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$167.30
$33.05
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
300 shares @ 55.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$163.60
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$56.10Jun 14, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $9.10Jun 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$128.48Jun 14, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$58.08Jun 14, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $38.64Jun 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$3.78Jun 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $4.60Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$0.43Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$3.78Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $38.64Jun 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$99.00Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?$189.00Jun 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$65.01Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$143.50Jun 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$142.00Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$2.50Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$1.65Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$144.00Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$68.00Jun 14, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $52.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.