Agonizing-Athletics
0xdaf3fd565128b8161f87f037ad9b0be2c16c57f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$22.37
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$325.54
Win rate
63%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
156 shares @ 12.6¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.57
$-11.08
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
259 shares @ 1.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$8.53
$3.53
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
58 shares @ 8.6¢·now 5.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
684 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.03
$-1.26
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Meeting?
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.26
$-4.79
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.10
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
15199 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-133.11
- YES
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
8330 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-342.84
- YES
Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?
2964 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$2.50Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$99.06Apr 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Apr 7, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$7.36Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 10?$15.00Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.16Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1.20Apr 7, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.20Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.54Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.32Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.32Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.88Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.32Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$9.16Apr 7, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$17.33Apr 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$73.89Apr 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$10.00Apr 7, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$100.00Apr 7, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$3.50Apr 7, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$2.10Apr 7, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 19:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.