Honest-Dealing
0xdc46df3965a2b866720024291a7ae828d213c7c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-763.81
Realised
$71.13
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
1015 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-48.54
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
829 shares @ 44.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-370.53
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?
259 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-183.80
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
253 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.28
- ZETA DIVISION
Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
235 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
180 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
143 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-51.94
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?
132 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGame Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)$1.4KMay 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)$21.37May 17, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$19.82May 17, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)$1.0KMay 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.28May 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.00May 14, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$380.78May 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner$0.50May 11, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$1.22May 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.28May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$1.75May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$2.00May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$2.00May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$1.87May 11, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.05May 11, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.05May 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.03May 11, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.02May 11, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.05May 11, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ZETA DIVISION vs VARREL (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1$0.05May 11, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $459.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".