Self-Reliant-Bowling
0xdcc758630eefe1233f4ad084c64049f30fe9e29c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$10.74
Total PnL
$-189.51
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.89
$1.89
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
4 shares @ 76.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
4 shares @ 67.9¢·now 46.7¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$2.06
$-0.94
- NO
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.32
$-2.68
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?
7727 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.05
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?
2873 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 13?
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?
84 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
84 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$4.35Jun 28, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$4.62May 15, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$6.36May 15, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians$11.11May 14, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$5.12May 14, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?$2.35May 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GTZ Esports vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season$3.43May 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians$5.08May 14, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$5.05May 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$5.06May 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)$5.09May 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$5.07May 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Arthur Rinderknech vs Martin Damm$5.05May 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini$5.05May 14, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$5.10May 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?$5.08May 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?$5.10May 14, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 14?$6.28May 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?$0.68May 13, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.11May 13, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.