Definite-Brewer
0xdd1db2f6caa04a8bc5c7b86b340ff7a64ceebbf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$251.0K
Total PnL
$13.7K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
65432 shares @ 83.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$54.6K
$151.08
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
59938 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.2K
$3.4K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
54168 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.0K
$3.5K
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
43217 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.0K
$2.4K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
26709 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.5K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
9510 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.4K
$467.35
- NO
NATO article 5 before 2027?
6540 shares @ 87.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.0K
$283.32
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6052 shares @ 87.6¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.7K
$365.56
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
2658 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$2.3K
$66.45
- NO
Will Trump resign before 2027?
204 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.77
$7.89
Recent activity
- YIELD$5.43Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.43Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.42Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.42Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.43Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.43Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$5.46Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.47Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$5.44Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$5.45Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$5.45Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$7.23Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$17.0KJun 1, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$14.0KJun 1, 13:42 UTC
- YIELD$8.53Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.54May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$8.54May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.52May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.51May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.51May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $15.5K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.