0xdd81c279f9f65a1405f1a2f6d8e13cd26245de69
0xdd81c279f9f65a1405f1a2f6d8e13cd26245de69
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$63.26
Total PnL
$-0.64
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
20 shares @ 45.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.09
$3.77
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11 shares @ 84.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.48
$2.48
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.36
$1.37
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.87
$0.87
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.64
$5.64
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
14 shares @ 90.2¢·now 40.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.63
$-7.07
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.38
$-2.62
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$2.26
$-2.73
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 11?$5.333h ago
- YIELD$0.0021h ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.006d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$6.966d ago
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.006d ago
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.006d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$1.046d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- REDEEMNorthern Colorado Bears vs. Montana Grizzlies$0.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.227d ago
- MERGEWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.007d ago
- SPLITWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.007d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.007d ago
- REDEEMLoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winner$20.927d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
