Brisk-Brochure
0xdeac294966afa5e30253008cbda299142df795c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$67.61
Total PnL
$-427.62
Realised
$-65.50
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
83 shares @ 18.6¢·now 47.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$39.22
$23.77
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
14 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$13.38
$1.34
- YES
Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.80
$0.53
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.66
$0.14
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.76
$0.51
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.68
$-0.63
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
14 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$-0.49
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.93
$-0.72
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
394 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-51.22
- YES
Will the Houston Texans be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
307 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-116.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture El Obeid by January 31?$1.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?$1.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?$2.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?$5.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$8.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$15.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$38.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$415.00May 21, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$371.82Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Derrick White lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.11Feb 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$60.48Jan 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$35.86Jan 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$243.69Jan 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$65.20Jan 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.74Jan 10, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$117.65Jan 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$36.40Jan 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?$41.60Jan 10, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $149.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 12:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.