Esteemed-Booklet
0xdfe6294e6567ea65b9be3d98d001fe5c6bdf92a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
94
Open notional
$45.01
Total PnL
$-180.95
Realised
$-27.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- NO
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.74
$0.74
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- NO
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
2 shares @ 95.7¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 17.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$0.90
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$0.62
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$1.04May 7, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$1.09May 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?$1.09Apr 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026?$1.15Apr 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$2.22Apr 19, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.98Apr 7, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$4.11Apr 7, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?$1.05Apr 7, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$32.41Apr 7, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.93Apr 6, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clavicular get frame mogged by Gorlock the Destroyer on stream during Mog World Order?$1.00Apr 6, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00Apr 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.00Apr 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?$1.00Apr 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Attorney General pick by April 10, 2026?$1.00Apr 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.