Threadbare-Tool
0xe007275693587b5c472c374052d10f894b66a797
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$324.73
Total PnL
$-121.89
Realised
$-9.46
Win rate
8%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.66
$0.80
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
15 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.00
$0.81
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$0.30
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
20 shares @ 63.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.30
$-0.40
- NO
US strike on Colombia by March 31?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.00
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
10 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.32
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
10 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$0.52
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$2.40
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$10.00
$0.44
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$0.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.002h ago
- YIELD$0.001d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- YIELD$0.003d ago
- YIELD$0.004d ago
- YIELD$0.005d ago
- YIELD$0.006d ago
- YIELD$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.008d ago
- YIELD$0.009d ago
- YIELD$0.0010d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.0711d ago
- YIELD$0.0011d ago
- YIELD$0.0012d ago
- YIELD$0.0013d ago
- YIELD$0.0014d ago
- YIELD$0.0015d ago
- YIELD$0.0016d ago
- YIELD$0.0017d ago
- YIELD$0.0018d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.