Healthy-Muffin
0xe095ec90d7b592888e80f0dffa8dc4719dfdb6fe
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$57.45
Total PnL
$-18.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
16 shares @ 62.4¢·now 64.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.34
$0.34
- UNDER
Cocciaretto vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.99
$4.99
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
37 shares @ 40.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.27
$-6.73
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.61
$0.61
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.31
$0.31
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCocciaretto vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$5.088h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by May 31?$5.047d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$5.037d ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$5.067d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.007d ago
- REDEEMCagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini$0.007d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$0.007d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$0.007d ago
- REDEEMCagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi$0.007d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.197d ago
- REDEEMCagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini$2.337d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$7.047d ago
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?$7.3010d ago
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx$5.0410d ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Arnaldi$5.0610d ago
- TRADEBUYCagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettini$1.0210d ago
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev$5.0410d ago
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$0.0010d ago
- REDEEMFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$6.7610d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.0421d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 33d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
