Gullible-Angel
0xe1a96e3065e96d5fbdd06215f00e5c1622f3339e
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$951.92
Total PnL
$-305.17
Realised
$128.72
Win rate
89%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$20.25
$5.25
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.24
$2.24
- NO
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
50 shares @ 11.7¢·now 32.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$10.53
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$15.75
$2.25
- NO
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$15.25
$0.25
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$14.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.75
$-0.75
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
50 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$13.50
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
50 shares @ 18.1¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$3.45
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
39 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.29
$0.58
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.77Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping by August 31?$5.50Jul 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$5.56Jul 9, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$6.57Jul 9, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$1.60Jul 9, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$0.56Jul 9, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?$1.46Jul 9, 03:52 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.09Jul 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?$15.42Jul 8, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?$7.23Jul 8, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?$11.45Jul 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?$8.55Jul 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$15.00Jul 8, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?$7.75Jul 8, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?$15.53Jul 8, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?$22.00Jul 8, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$20.50Jul 8, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$0.48Jul 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$14.91Jul 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?$6.21Jul 8, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
36 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 22:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.