0xe1ec7a665023c569a4e6b52337756bd7864cf7db
0xe1ec7a665023c569a4e6b52337756bd7864cf7db
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$41.87
Total PnL
$-764.81
Realised
$-27.70
Win rate
16%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- NO
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
6 shares @ 72.7¢·now 94.7¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$5.22
$1.21
- YES
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.20
$2.53
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
6 shares @ 62.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$5.17
$1.33
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
23 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.22
$0.46
- NO
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$3.00
$0.99
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$2.62
$-1.36
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
3 shares @ 46.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.55
$1.36
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.18
$0.20
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.68
$0.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$2.98Jun 13, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$6.54Jun 4, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.61Jun 1, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.12May 30, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4.73May 30, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?$0.39May 13, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.17May 12, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?$6.08May 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.13May 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.16May 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.25May 8, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$1.20May 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?$1.37May 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.34May 7, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.34May 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00May 7, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.33May 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.15May 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.40May 7, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.29May 7, 15:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 11:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.