True-Child-Bottling
0xe215f8fd83e3cff0c11262c14fdf9ba1862c1c22
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$193.90
Total PnL
$-64.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
41 shares @ 3.7¢·now 17.1¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$6.99
$5.47
- YES
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
9 shares @ 16.0¢·now 59.4¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.35
$3.91
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.03
$4.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 23.4¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.04
$2.00
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
9 shares @ 17.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.48
$0.94
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.42
$1.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.36
$1.24
- YES
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
39 shares @ 2.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.34
$1.33
- YES
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
8 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$2.16
$0.72
- YES
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
26 shares @ 5.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$1.56Jun 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYVon der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?$1.59Jun 14, 04:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.52Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$25.00Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$1.50Jun 13, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$1.56Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$1.65Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?$1.55Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPeru Presidential Election Invalidated?$1.56Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$1.60Jun 13, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$5.00Jun 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.57Jun 13, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$6.00Jun 13, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?$1.59Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$1.61Jun 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?$1.61Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$1.61Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.