0xe27ef69292ce961804ae06f570dea3378013f15e
0xe27ef69292ce961804ae06f570dea3378013f15e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
154
Open notional
$49.77
Total PnL
$-142.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 154- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.96
$7.80
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.05
$7.08
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.17
$6.02
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?
7 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.11
$4.76
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?
6 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$4.80
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.50
$4.29
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.39
$4.20
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.59
$1.26
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
12 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
12 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$5.00Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.62Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$7.11Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$3.53Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.55May 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$0.99May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.99May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?$0.98May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$1.00May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.11May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.12May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.20May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$1.18May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$1.25May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.39May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.39May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?$1.55May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.68May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.82May 12, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.