Loving-Snakebite
0xe30bfb6336b72ec888b077d7daa9b2a546a498cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$288.67
Total PnL
$-57.85
Realised
$13.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2437 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$69.45
$29.13
- YES
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
183 shares @ 26.3¢·now 27.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$49.32
$1.27
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$-17.50
- YES
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
112 shares @ 46.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$34.29
$-17.43
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1664 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.29
$-31.62
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?
211 shares @ 5.7¢·now 10.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$22.54
$10.56
- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
20 shares @ 90.7¢·now 96.8¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$19.43
$1.22
- YES
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
553 shares @ 5.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$12.72
$-16.44
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 6.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.30
$-5.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
52 shares @ 56.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.90
$-23.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYChristopher Luxon out by September 30?$14.46Jul 25, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$28.82Jul 25, 03:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$24.01Jul 24, 20:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$15.79Jul 23, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$2.25Jul 21, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?$16.47Jul 21, 07:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?$4.42Jul 19, 05:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$10.61Jul 18, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $11.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.