0xe347e126f4f069ae6919c533233900e1d22a18e1
0xe347e126f4f069ae6919c533233900e1d22a18e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$63.16
Total PnL
$-50.28
Realised
$-3.40
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
19 shares @ 15.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.48
$16.48
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$13.66
$3.96
- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
12 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.76
$3.76
- YES
Will Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2026?
42 shares @ 3.0¢·now 19.2¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$7.98
$6.71
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
8 shares @ 23.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.03
$1.15
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
38 shares @ 41.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$2.63
$-12.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$2.55
$1.55
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
15 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-6.82
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
126 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2026?$1.38Jul 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$1.07Jul 19, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?$2.03Jul 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$8.45Jul 19, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$32.11Jul 19, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.03May 3, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$2.05May 3, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers $1.03May 3, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$9.70May 3, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?$1.04May 3, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.58May 3, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$15.38Apr 28, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$6.85Apr 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2.00Apr 28, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$15.79Apr 26, 11:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 19:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.