Vague-Mortise
0xe4d92f879d3b55c26c1f672acedf8ab17a2c2a4e
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$-208.38
Realised
$34.75
Win rate
47%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
815 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$815.00
$383.35
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
538 shares @ 86.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$504.38
$41.69
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
445 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$378.25
$17.80
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
277 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$276.86
$0.14
- YES
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
761 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$213.08
$15.22
- YES
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$55.77
$7.15
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 14.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$6.16
$3.08
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.52
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.78
$-0.34
- NO
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$196.562d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?$1.302d ago
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$66.8814d ago
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$49.4414d ago
- TRADESELLMistral AI IPO before 2027?$45.3614d ago
- TRADESELLMistral AI IPO before 2027?$242.7614d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$360.4515d ago
- TRADEBUYMistral AI IPO before 2027?$294.9815d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$128.7616d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$142.1016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$115.4216d ago
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$22.7516d ago
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$247.8016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$48.6218d ago
- TRADEBUYKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$316.9318d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$123.5918d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?$559.4418d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Third term" in March?$4.0019d ago
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$15.0019d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$305.0019d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $166.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 44d ago
- Last active
- 2d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.