Jittery-Conversation
0xe4d98f337fb30ac5e390425e8f69f6b6f65e3678
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$12.36
Total PnL
$-38.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $250 in August?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $4.50 in August?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.14May 29, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.32May 29, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$1.00Apr 27, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.00Apr 27, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before June 2026?$8.17Apr 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.10Apr 27, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$7.00Apr 8, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$8.69Apr 8, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$2.00Mar 24, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$0.34Mar 24, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$2.18Mar 24, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.00Mar 9, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$1.40Mar 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$6.00Mar 9, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$4.30Mar 9, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.18Mar 9, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 18, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".