Sharp-Destiny
0xe4e66538cdf5fd83036909bfafafea240ce522be
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$138.68
Total PnL
$-74.07
Realised
$-10.35
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
41 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$41.00
$17.22
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
29 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.00
$17.98
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
18 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$18.00
$6.48
- YES
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
13 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$13.00
$2.82
- YES
Will Josy and Gunnar marry by the end of Love is Blind: Germany: Season 2?
13 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$13.00
$2.34
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$10.00
$1.10
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
5 shares @ 45.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.00
$2.75
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
14 shares @ 84.6¢·now 24.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.45
$-8.39
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$3.00
$1.50
- NO
Will André Ventura win the first round by at least 4%?
1 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.00
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$14.72Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$3.88Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$1.90Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$12.60Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$6.72Jan 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?$1.80Jan 16, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.89Jan 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?$4.76Jan 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$8.37Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$3.72Jan 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$4.15Jan 15, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.51Jan 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$4.41Jan 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.30Jan 15, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Shah" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$21.33Jan 15, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?$4.05Jan 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$8.90Jan 15, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$12.80Jan 15, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$7.93Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?$0.12Jan 15, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 20:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.