Jolly-Bloom
0xe5254a3ca341248fca75acf5ea5e424c56bf525d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.96
Realised
$4.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in March?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Biden" 5+ times during meetings with Orbán?
84 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump post "Gay" on Truth Social this week?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Venezuela" during meetings with Orbán?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
3 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2$0.91May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$3.45May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00May 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?$1.03May 6, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$0.96May 5, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 5, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.28May 5, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.01May 3, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.02May 3, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.27Apr 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$1.00Apr 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$2.66Apr 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.00Apr 23, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$1.46Apr 21, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?$1.00Apr 21, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?$3.13Apr 21, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?$0.41Apr 20, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$1.23Apr 18, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 17, 2026?$2.33Apr 18, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".