0xe5b44ee50236e4ac7f82a2ad15bf3e01a36bfe99
0xe5b44ee50236e4ac7f82a2ad15bf3e01a36bfe99
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$123.76
Total PnL
$10.70
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$18.00
$10.08
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
14 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.40
$12.67
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
14 shares @ 65.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$14.25
$4.96
- YES
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$9.80
$7.84
- NO
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
9 shares @ 30.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.63
$5.99
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
8 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.49
$1.75
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.14
$4.14
- PREDATORS
Predators vs. Blackhawks
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$6.80
$3.33
- TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
6 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$6.28
$3.83
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.40
$0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$7.92Apr 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.25Apr 25, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.95Apr 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.23Apr 22, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2.85Apr 22, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.75Apr 22, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$4.75Apr 22, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.20Apr 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.71Apr 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.18Apr 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.12Apr 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.12Apr 11, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.89Apr 11, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Islanders$1.46Apr 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$1.24Apr 11, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Utah$1.41Apr 11, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.63Apr 3, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$0.44Apr 3, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$1.02Apr 3, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.