Infantile-Infancy
0xe63acc18279990583f1d0d7ce3596c7c267c0679
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$335.27
Total PnL
$-33.48
Realised
$9.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$40.77
$0.77
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
69 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$40.34
$0.34
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.46
$-0.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 20?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$34.09
$4.09
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$8.75
$0.75
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 20?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$8.23
$0.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 20?
11 shares @ 76.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$8.15
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$8.00Jun 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$7.99Jun 19, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$40.00Jun 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$39.31Jun 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$40.00Jun 19, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$39.31Jun 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$40.00Jun 19, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$39.37Jun 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$40.00Jun 19, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$39.47Jun 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$39.99Jun 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$35.75Jun 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$38.95Jun 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.24Jun 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$39.99Jun 19, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$39.28Jun 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$38.95Jun 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$39.99Jun 19, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$40.00Jun 19, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$38.59Jun 19, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 08:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.