Moist-Transparency
0xe679e53550400532d588a654c2e70939d802871f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$299.84
Total PnL
$-655.72
Realised
$134.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1279 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$105.53
$9.59
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.50
$-0.90
- YES
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.11
$-1.89
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?
83 shares @ 27.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$22.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$8.70
$0.70
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?
20 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$6.10
$-0.10
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.17
$0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$9.14May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$12.79May 17, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$5.88May 17, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$17.12May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$16.60May 17, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$16.80May 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?$17.00May 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$6.20May 17, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$0.81May 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$4.86May 17, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$0.54May 17, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$4.40May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$4.40May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?$8.00May 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$2.20May 17, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$2.20May 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$5.32May 17, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?$6.20May 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$0.28May 17, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Costco Q3 US adjusted comparable sales growth be between 7.5% and 8.5%?$5.60May 17, 08:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $40.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".