Earnest-Signup
0xe6c2f9a87392b2af5b95d8e4bac6653a459b7f19
Quality score
65/100
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-981.69
Realised
$-94.88
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
921 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$617.07
$27.63
- NO
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
632 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$581.44
$25.28
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
723 shares @ 89.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$527.79
$-115.68
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?
601 shares @ 71.2¢·now 75.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$451.59
$23.68
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
479 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$407.15
$33.53
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
56 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$55.54
$4.82
- YES
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
681 shares @ 22.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$47.67
$-102.15
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$40.01
$-9.87
- NO
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
175 shares @ 19.4¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$9.10
$-24.85
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 3AM ET
900 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-566.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$589.441d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?$427.912d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$292.6016d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$819.5416d ago
- TRADESELLWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$227.2016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?$300.9616d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$149.8217d ago
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$33.9517d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?$244.9217d ago
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$643.4717d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$432.0018d ago
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the next White House Press Briefing?$942.0018d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$373.6218d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$556.1618d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$386.2439d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "SAVE Act" or "SAVE America Act" during the next White House Press Briefing?$668.8239d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$49.8839d ago
- REDEEMMaryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina Central Eagles$65.0040d ago
- REDEEMWill Khamenei tweet again by March 10?$290.0040d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-1.5)$327.0040d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $254.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 50d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.