Fickle-Game
0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$314.3K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$178.5K
$28.5K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
300000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$121.5K
$-28.5K
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
11455 shares @ 55.2¢·now 54.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.2K
$-122.99
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
113024 shares @ 3.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.5K
$793.77
- NO
Will FC Rottach-Egern win on 2026-07-30?
1514 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.5K
$12.11
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
23402 shares @ 9.2¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$877.58
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 11.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$528.00
$474.07
- YES
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$456.00
$402.07
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$60.00
$6.07
- YES
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$50.40
$-3.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$535.00Jul 29, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5$0.00Jul 29, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$81.15Jul 29, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.61Jul 29, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.71Jul 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.71Jul 29, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.12Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.12Jul 29, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.92Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$5.20Jul 29, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$10.82Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.12Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.18Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.71Jul 29, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.71Jul 29, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.18Jul 29, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.65Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.12Jul 29, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$22.11Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.12Jul 29, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$88.7K
Trades
3
Buy share
68%
Window
Jun 1, 13:10 UTC → Jul 3, 02:17 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$11.1K@91¢Jul 1, 02:34 UTC
- BUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score$22.8K@49¢Jun 24, 19:05 UTC
- SELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$21.8K@100¢Jun 14, 03:51 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$11.1K
1 trades
Buy share
68%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
$22.8K · 26% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $34.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.