Devoted-Prejudice
0xe7b1a72aafc1ff955354f30f7897d38291025e3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$70.71
Total PnL
$1.75
Realised
$-4.14
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.01
$8.99
- YES
Will Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$10.00
$0.38
- NO
Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?
10 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$0.70
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
10 shares @ 92.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$9.98
$0.74
- NO
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.90
$2.20
- NO
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
10 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.84
$0.62
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2025-2026 Big 12 Men's Basketball regular season championship?
4 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$3.51
$2.95
- YES
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$1.05
- YES
Remote IPO before 2027?
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.40
- YES
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?$0.90Apr 2, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.79Mar 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?$9.62Mar 14, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?$1.90Mar 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYZohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?$9.22Mar 3, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?$9.24Mar 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?$2.50Mar 1, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$9.30Mar 1, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$8.60Feb 28, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%?$0.11Feb 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.05Feb 26, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.22Feb 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.55Feb 26, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.14Feb 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.13Feb 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?$9.30Feb 25, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$8.70Feb 24, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$0.21Feb 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$0.08Feb 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.50Feb 22, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 17:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.