Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
Probability
16¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$207.01
Liquidity
$14.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5988.7h
- 11:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 16¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 18¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 16¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 16¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 14¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 14¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 13¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 23¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 14¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 16¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).