Ragged-Dose
0xe85607bf3eddcc3f7cff16671695f5e96bba3789
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$766.30
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$10.12
Win rate
56%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 87.9¢·now 98.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$74.30
$7.74
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
60 shares @ 76.5¢·now 89.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$54.03
$8.07
- NO
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
52 shares @ 79.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.20
$6.17
- NO
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
47 shares @ 71.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.00
$11.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
74 shares @ 66.6¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.69
$-13.31
- NO
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 74.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.13
$2.13
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
32 shares @ 79.3¢·now 76.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$24.04
$-0.96
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
28 shares @ 57.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.79
$1.79
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
15 shares @ 91.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.77
$0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.04Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.08Jun 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.04Jun 13, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.02Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.03Jun 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?$5.11Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$6.03Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$0.01Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- MERGESpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.45Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$0.01Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$2.06Jun 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?$10.06Jun 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$1.03Jun 12, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.02Jun 12, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$5.00Jun 12, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.