Vital-Growth
0xe9cb34a352d9bb1619ef421572cd89c049922009
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$185.02
Total PnL
$-138.88
Realised
$1.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
48 shares @ 42.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.95
$5.95
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.25
$5.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.94
$3.94
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
80 shares @ 27.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$19.60
$-2.00
- NO
Will Kevin De Bruyne score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.97
$7.97
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 15.8¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$12.67
$2.67
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
71 shares @ 30.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.47
$-9.53
- YES
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$9.83
$4.83
- OVER
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$9.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.66
$-1.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$1.04Jun 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuis Díaz: 1+ assists AND Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$1.02Jun 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by December 31?$2.46Jun 23, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Neto: 1+ assists AND Luis Díaz: 1+ assists AND Harry Kane: 1+ goals$7.15Jun 23, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$7.14Jun 23, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$6.04Jun 23, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMNorway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$5.88Jun 23, 02:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$3.04Jun 22, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$3.14Jun 22, 21:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.22Jun 21, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.27Jun 21, 16:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 AND Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$1.72Jun 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$0.07Jun 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$2.05Jun 18, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $5.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 03:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.