Bad-Shakedown
0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$197.66
Realised
$400.56
Win rate
51%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
160 shares @ 93.7¢·now 89.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.32
$-6.19
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
200 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.01
$-7.00
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$120.99
$-7.00
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
200 shares @ 62.6¢·now 60.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.51
$-4.70
- YES
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
200 shares @ 62.5¢·now 57.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$113.98
$-11.02
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
200 shares @ 53.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.01
$4.00
- NO
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$93.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$92.50
$0.50
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$91.50
$-1.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$90.95
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET$3.24Jun 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10AM ET$7.56Jun 14, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$17.00Jun 14, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$90.00Jun 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.29Jun 14, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$0.11Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- MERGEWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$75.27Jun 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 14, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.08Jun 14, 13:56 UTC
- MERGEWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24.72Jun 14, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.92Jun 14, 13:53 UTC
- MERGEWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.39Jun 14, 13:39 UTC
- MERGEWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$100.00Jun 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$7.80Jun 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.24Jun 14, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 14, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.42Jun 14, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.67Jun 14, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.62Jun 14, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$88.00Jun 14, 12:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $21.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.