Burly-Wrench
0xea9661d44d6d90f3e8fe2196b10a5f783cb873bf
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$310.37
Total PnL
$-109.08
Realised
$-7.52
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
166 shares @ 80.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$115.35
$-17.45
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
119 shares @ 74.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$66.05
$-22.02
- NO
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$46.50
$14.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
80 shares @ 53.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.40
$-4.00
- NO
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$36.75
$1.75
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$4.63
$2.13
- YES
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?
5 shares @ 53.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.95
$-0.70
- YES
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
50 shares @ 33.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.75
$-15.75
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
71 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-59.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?$2.5014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?$2.7115h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?$35.5215h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$33.0715h ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?$17.0515h ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.242d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9.862d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$23.622d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.542d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$74.002d ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$22.682d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$75.602d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$94.432d ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$0.003d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$42.403d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$97.093d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$154.405d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$20.285d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$68.405d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$59.675d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $50.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23d ago
- Last active
- 14h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
