Nocturnal-Bandolier
0xebde55e5915d477ad70230cc9f3d01a55e5fb53b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$9.75
Total PnL
$-560.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
5 shares @ 88.7¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.54
$0.10
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.21
$-1.83
- YES
Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
646 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-160.18
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
400 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
287 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-28.70
- YES
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?
157 shares @ 44.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-69.90
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$23.00May 11, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$899.94May 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $10 in April?$899.10Apr 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$3.50Apr 22, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$0.32Apr 22, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$0.87Apr 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$2.81Apr 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$5.50Apr 20, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$199.98Apr 18, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$294.13Apr 18, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 5-9 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$293.85Apr 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$199.60Apr 17, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.00Apr 17, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$109.84Apr 15, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$98.94Apr 15, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 50-54 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$14.97Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$45.47Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$109.86Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$131.42Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMOneFootball FDV above $2B one day after launch?$176.73Apr 15, 09:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $95.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 22:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".