Polished-Performance
0xec2e7fe98a1700699cab23117021866251506686
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$70.92
Total PnL
$-12.83
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?
64 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$35.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 15.1¢·now 16.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
580 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.93
$-2.07
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
17 shares @ 35.9¢·now 28.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.84
$-1.17
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?$30.40May 14, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.34May 14, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.07May 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-16?$3.07May 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-16?$2.05May 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-16?$2.04May 14, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.03May 14, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.08May 14, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.13May 13, 23:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?$2.09May 10, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBase FDV above $2B one day after launch?$4.08May 10, 01:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.24May 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.43May 10, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.51May 10, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".