Alarming-Trap
0xec4e177aac69e9186ce6e4e9163a3f5ed0508bf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$610.91
Total PnL
$81.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
1886 shares @ 15.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$254.54
$-45.46
- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$170.45
$120.45
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
159 shares @ 37.7¢·now 50.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$80.18
$20.18
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
100 shares @ 24.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.50
$14.70
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
188 shares @ 11.1¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.29
$0.42
- YES
Will United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
294 shares @ 11.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.11
$-15.71
- YES
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
90 shares @ 19.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.44
$-8.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.85
$1.95
- YES
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
9 shares @ 21.5¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.54
$-1.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$35.74May 15, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$307.57May 15, 16:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.81May 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$1.94May 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$3.36May 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$8.32May 14, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.90May 14, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$7.89May 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$7.82May 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: 2026$26.40May 14, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$2.08May 12, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$2.13May 12, 10:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $22.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".