Baggy-Bribery
0xed40fd8b5cc32a3df80459b6e2b805d44498085a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$37.83
Total PnL
$-21.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.17
$5.17
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
67 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.36
$-3.64
- NO
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
10 shares @ 19.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.88
$-0.12
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$2.06May 16, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$2.05May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.05May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?$1.03May 15, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.00May 15, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$9.52May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.02May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$2.06May 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$20.00May 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?$5.09May 13, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$10.42May 12, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.18May 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$7.79May 12, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".