Cautious-Aggradation
0xed4b7e38b8cf27814394c1ad4c81ef479da1c8d6
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$15.02
Total PnL
$3.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.26
$9.37
- NO
Will "Deep Water" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Deep Water" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Beautiful Bill" at The Villages on May 1?$1.032d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?$1.042d ago
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$2.173d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?$1.023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?$1.043d ago
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B$1.023d ago
- REDEEMWill Powell say "War" during April press conference?$2.944d ago
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$3.894d ago
- TRADESELLWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.284d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?$1.034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?$1.034d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "War" during April press conference?$1.034d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?$0.724d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Karen Khachanov vs Jakub Mensik$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?$0.004d ago
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$3.254d ago
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.006d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".