Steel-Avenue
0xed73db82f2b8c6e7ce121d8d630a80a31c5e4465
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$146.15
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-53.04
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 275M by June 5?
50 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$5.50
- NO
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
25 shares @ 75.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.00
$6.11
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
75 shares @ 58.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.88
$-21.20
- NO
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 52.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.55
$3.63
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25 shares @ 52.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
25 shares @ 56.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.88
$-3.13
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.95
- NO
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by June 5?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.72
$0.57
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
1050 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-420.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.