Serious-Vegetarianism
0xedc75eaeb81f79a866926630608c9f9a2252e92b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$18.79
Total PnL
$-10.06
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 22.3¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$6.83
$5.83
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 37.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.18
$2.18
- YES
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$3.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.09
$0.16
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.20
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 4–8%?$1.04Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$1.04Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$0.23Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 30%?$1.04Jul 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04Jul 18, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?$1.04Jul 12, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.06Jul 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Newkirk be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?$2.07Jul 11, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$24.56Jul 10, 05:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$9.25Jul 9, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out by July 6?$1.00Jul 6, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$1.00Jul 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$2.00Jul 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.03Jul 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$1.00Jul 6, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$5.09Jul 1, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$0.24Jul 1, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$1.04Jul 1, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$11.46Jul 1, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?$2.07Jul 1, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.