Unrealistic-Dugout
0xee4fa6f3516ff02a9bc44d8c86a767283197b168
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$560.89
Total PnL
$-263.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.04
$9.04
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
123 shares @ 67.2¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$95.26
$12.72
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
354 shares @ 28.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.21
$-39.79
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
116 shares @ 26.6¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.05
$-3.95
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.77
$4.77
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.64
$8.64
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
116 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.82
$-8.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.12
$-13.87
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$13.29
$3.29
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.21
$2.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$10.30Jun 7, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$11.42Jun 7, 10:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.24Jun 6, 06:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.10Jun 4, 11:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.00Jun 3, 07:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$5.62Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win a trophy this season?$22.96Jun 3, 07:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.