Droopy-Corduroy
0xee67fa473868893bbe35a5f628298ba75168fd6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$11.5K
Total PnL
$232.79
Realised
$431.77
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
2331 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$58.28
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
2000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$-1.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by July 31?
2004 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.9K
$35.93
- NO
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
1624 shares @ 92.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.6K
$94.11
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2109 shares @ 80.3¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$-207.08
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
649 shares @ 94.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$617.52
$3.80
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
604 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$504.02
$-9.05
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
401 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$371.33
$6.18
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
404 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$327.43
$-12.13
- NO
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
545 shares @ 64.2¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$277.71
$-71.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$86.49Jun 21, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$255.24Jun 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$516.16Jun 21, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$190.38Jun 21, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$183.52Jun 21, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$133.17Jun 20, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$727.76Jun 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$366.63Jun 20, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$216.00Jun 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$39.69Jun 20, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$173.31Jun 20, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$230.70Jun 20, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$99.00Jun 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$270.64Jun 20, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$95.10Jun 20, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?$630.50Jun 20, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$2.1KJun 20, 02:08 UTC
- REWARD$0.61Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.95Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$467.99Jun 19, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $270.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 10:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.