0xeeaa88d2ce5cb0484d931a596cad1204f3dc4abf
0xeeaa88d2ce5cb0484d931a596cad1204f3dc4abf
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$110.10
Total PnL
$-9.75
Realised
$-0.86
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.67
$-0.32
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.22
$0.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 3, 2026$10.12
$0.13
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$8.66
$-0.36
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Feastables" during his next video?
21 shares @ 57.1¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.15
$-5.05
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.95
$0.04
- YES
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.22
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump say "Drill baby drill" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
12 shares @ 75.2¢·now 42.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$4.84
$-3.83
- NO
Will MiniMax have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 3, 2026$4.66
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$4.60
$-0.32
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?$4.961h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Paper tiger" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.155h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Alaska" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.455h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Leavitt" in April?$1.247h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Paxton" in April?$2.257h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Massie" in April?$2.647h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Trump National" or "Trump International" in April?$3.497h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.309h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Failing New York Times" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.289h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "White House Doctor" in April?$0.469h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Coward" in April?$1.369h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cocktail" in April?$1.529h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kennedy Center" in April?$2.909h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Toronto" in April?$1.279h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peacefully and Patriotically" in April?$1.419h ago
- MERGEWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$5.9611h ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$1.5216h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$2.1617h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$4.9917h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)$0.3517h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".