Lone-Bait
0xf0210eb6f5d5b20a411b163e0348309b63fb0da3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$523.61
Total PnL
$-326.22
Realised
$107.83
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
585 shares @ 65.8¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$421.20
$36.27
- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
99 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$99.00
$25.74
- NO
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?
3 shares @ 20.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.16
$1.56
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
152 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.22
$-12.46
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
8 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.03
$-1.24
- HEAT
Bulls vs. Heat
908 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-108.05
- NO
Will DoorDash report 900 million or more total orders in Q4 2025?
682 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-258.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
173 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-51.90
- YES
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
81 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.51
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
80 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$147.74Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$177.76Apr 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$246.63Apr 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$528.12Apr 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$97.60Apr 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$481.29Apr 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$82.72Apr 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$113.14Apr 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$29.10Apr 11, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$280.00Apr 11, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$378.16Apr 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$93.96Apr 10, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill one person dissent the April Fed decision?$368.30Apr 10, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$55.27Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$106.15Apr 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$199.41Apr 9, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?$103.66Apr 9, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$698.61Apr 9, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$193.63Apr 8, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by December 31?$384.93Apr 8, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $244.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".